Virginia: The Cost Of Gun Control

Our next State in the “Cost of Gun Control” is the Old Dominion, Virginia .

And to get the show on the road, I have always hated trying to find a source for something, so the fine print is up here. And starting with the fact that all data not separately sourced I rec href

Disaster Center web address appears here:

For those who are not familiar with this series, The primary purposes of this series is to first, to raise the overall cost of gun control in lives lost, personal and property damage, extra security, prisons, and so on. The secondary purpose is to establish as many points of identity between gun control legislation in the 50 United States and the District of Columbia.

At present, we have determined enough points of similarity to establish the probability that the perceived pattern of a sharp increase in crime and violence following a gun control campaign or law is greater than 15*10^8550 a number far beyond human experience.

Demographically, Virginia’s population is 78.7 percent low crime minorities and 21.3 percent hher crime minorities. So long as the conooomny does well enough that jobs are available, I doubt the demographic mix will have any great effect on crime rates.

However, Virginia’s gun laws are a definited factor in the State’s relatively low crime rate. The State does not charge a tax on gun purchases, does not register gun owned guns or require a permit to possess. There are no restrictions on NICS weapns, no limits on mag magazine capacity, background checks on parties in private transfers are not required. All restrictions Democratic dogma whould have imposed as shoon as humanly possible.

While the State is still drasticcally over regulated, it is at least better han many states such as Maryland, New Jersey, Delaware, New York, and so on. There can be no doubt that

In short, Virginia ‘s gun laws could stand some modification in accordance with the results of Constitutional carry laws, but are good enough to hae kep the crime rates comparatively low despite economic problems.

Of course, another million or so jobs would help as well.

For the next to final bit of fine print, because there seems no other good place to put it, in 1960 Virginia Law Enforcement Agencies (LEA’s) reporte 4487 homicides of which 217 or 445% were firearms related. ”/Withe the onset of the 1963 gun ban campaign, the percentage of firearms related homices topped 68 percent in 1968.

In 2016 Virginia LEA’s reported 484 or 71.9 murder, 630 of those or 57.4% were firearms related, an increase due to the easy availability and low price of stolen “street guns:” demonstrating the gact gun control campaigns and gun control laws drive the degree firearms are involved in crime up, sometimes as much as double the percentage of involvement.

With tht, it is time to turn to look at the history of crime and gun contol in Virginia after 1960. As usual, we invite you to verify our numbers either with the FBI’s Uniform Crime Report,available as some police headquarters, or the very convenient spreadsheet maintained by the Disaster Center.

1960 saw Virginia ‘s LEA’s report 8m766,000 iolent crimes in a population 9,780,000 population, for a viooent crime rate of just 161 [er 100.000,

1962: The entertainment industry, was faced wtih the possibility of being forced to resshoot or scrap programming “already in the can” and generating revenue from reruns Faced with a minimum cost of $50,000,000 for a reshoot, and financial disaster if they were forced to show those films overseas, the industry searched for a diversion.

In November of 1963, the probable mob hit that killed President John F. Kennedy by a New Orleans drifter armed with a mail order rifle must have seemed heaven sent.
Within days, the calls for a ban on on mail order guns turned into a call for forced confiscation of all guns – and a total of 7,720 violent crimes reported to the FBI from Virginia .

1964, the first full year of Hollywood’s gun ban campaign, saw the Lone Star State’s LEA’s report 8,259 violent crimes to the FBI,

1968: the fifth full year of Hollywood’s gun ban campaign and a half hundred State and local laws to “Do what Congress will not” ad driven the violent crime to total to 12.821 violent crimes to the FBI. Congress did act in 1963, imposing the Federal Gun Control Act of 1968, which put gun gun and ammunition purchaser registration into effect for the first time, and initiated other restrictions, including banning mail order firearms purchases. GCA’68 was in effect only a few days that year.

1969, the first full year of Federal gun control on top of State and local laws, Virginia LEA’s reported a total 12.433 violent crimes among Virginia baaalooning population, whecn had risne to 10,.972,0001973 was the fifth full year of Federal gun controls, including ammunition purchaser registration, saw Virginia LEA’s reported 36,707 violent crimes to the FBI, resulting in a violent crime rate of 328.1 per 100,000 population.

1960 saw Virginia ‘s LEA’s report 8m766,000 iolent crimes in a population 9,780,000 population, for a viooent crime rate of just 161 [er 100.000,

1962: The entertainment industry, was faced wtih the possibility of being forced to resshoot or scrap programming “already in the can” and generating revenue from reruns Faced with a minimum cost of $50,000,000 for a reshoot, and financial disaster if they were forced to show those films overseas, the industry searched for a diversion.

In November of 1963, the probable mob hit that killed President John F. Kennedy by a New Orleans drifter armed with a mail order rifle must have seemed heaven sent.
Within days, the calls for a ban on on mail order guns turned into a call for forced confiscation of all guns – and a total of 7,720 violent crimes reported to the FBI from Virginia .

1964, the first full year of Hollywood’s gun ban campaign, saw the Lone Star State’s LEA’s report 8,259 violent crimes to the FBI,

1968: the fifth full year of Hollywood’s gun ban campaign and a half hundred State and local laws to “Do what Congress will not” ad driven the violent crime to total to 12.821 violent crimes to the FBI. Congress did act in 1963, imposing the Federal Gun Control Act of 1968, which put gun gun and ammunition purchaser registration into effect for the first time, and initiated other restrictions, including banning mail order firearms purchases. GCA’68 was in effect only a few days that year.

1969, the first full year of Federal gun control on top of State and local laws, Virginia LEA’s reported a total 124,160 violent crimes among Virginia baaalooning population, whecn had risne to 10,.972,0001973 was the to the FBI.

By 2016 relaxing gun laws fave drivent the crime raat down to the point Virginial LEA’s reported only 18,302 violent crimes in 2016, as relaxed gun laws suppressed the desire to commit a crime.

Clearly, then, Virginia’s very well funded gun banners have managed to withstand our efforts to make significant cuts in thecrime ates. As the numbers show, thanks to the Billionaire Banners unlimited supplies of cash, they have held us to a draw, in that the absolue numbed of violent crimes have not declined since the 1990’w.

As yoou can see, reported crime in the well Virginia ‘s violent crime rate continued to rise, reaching a maximum of 24,161 160 violent crimes reported to the FBI in 1993 at the height of Handgun Control, Inc.’s “Assault Weapons Ban Campaign.

The shock of Congress passing a greattlly despised gun ban, and seeing an American President sign that bill into law, served as a wakeup call to many Texans, who changed their gun buying habits from Winchester Model 70’s to AR-15’s and other Sport utility and defensive weapons. The result was suppression of all types of crime rates.

Until 2013, when a new and well funded gun ban campaign began, documented here by the red bars on the violent crime and homiccide rate charts.

7, under the influence of the “Assault Weapons Ban” campaign, and a reneal of a gun control drive as gun banners concluded that background checks would not eliminate crime.

That said, it is time to look at Virginia’s homicide rate:

The homicide chart points up one of Virginia’s many crime problems, criminals leaving the district to commit their crimes. All the expected changes to agree with numbers calculatioed, you must compensate by chopping the tops off the surge numbers, mowing down other months, or just look at the chart agrees with experience elsewhere and is therefore valid, and go on with to the conclusion. Gun control has been extremely expensive for Virginia.

The probability than ten categories of violent crime would rise and fall in lockstep are small. When the lockstep involves more than 30 States, small becomes less than infinitesimal: approximately 15*10^830, a number so large that online big number calculators choke.

Clearly then, there is a strong causative relationship between crime and gun control.

And since “everything has a price,” gun contorl definitely has a price.

The charts above, and the linked data sets, cover ten categories of crime and more than thirty States. Given the enormous range of laws, restrictions, and economic and demographic conditions along with the severity of enforcement of the gun laws, the probability the probability that so many crime rates would rise and fall in lockstep are grater taajam 15*10^800, a number too large to calculate with online tools,and too long to post. Given that, for this post, the probability that this pattern of a sharp increase in crime after a gun control campaign or law is essentially infinite, against.

And with that, just what is the dollar cost the good people of Virginia have paid for gun control campaigns and restrictive gun laws?

I cannot calculate the real cost of excess murders or the cost of thousands of man years in prison on counterproductive gun charges, the cost of grief, loneliness,the cost of being orphaned, the cost of a disability, of lost wages, or the many other costs inherent in any factor that causes a sharp rise in criminal violence.

I can consider the cost of an each excess homicide at the median cost of a wrongful death settlement at $2,200,000; the cost of medical care for each shooting victim, the cost of of nursing care for those disabled, the cost of goods destroyed, damaged,or stolen, the cost of extra sstore and transportation security, law enforcement, and prisons.

That $339,400,000,000 spread over 52 yea
rs. Obviously, a half billion a year for 54 years is a terrible price for any State to pay.

It is time for Congress to preempt all restrictive State and local gun laws,. imposing a reasonable penalty on individuals who attempt to enforce preempted laws, or craft new laws to circumvent the restrictive gun laws that have driven crime rates “over the moon.

It is not only time for Congress to act against restrictive gun laws it is time for we, you and I to do something aout those who keep enacting the same rogue laws that have invariably driven up violevery time they have een imposed.

Two States, Virginia and New Jersy, have governors and lt. governors elections in 216. If wwwwe are not to be worn down and lose evdeen more of our right to keep ourselves, our families, our neighborhoods, we must force the Democraticc candidates, into a landslide loss loss for Democrat and gun banner Ralph Northam and his running mate. Both would be glad to see the laws that drove violent crime up to be reinstated, and mad3e tougher. Because of that weakling’s excuse, “Something must be done, even if it doubles the crime rates.

It is the same story in Neew Jersey, werhe the ANTI Party candidate to replace Chris Christie alreaddy has at least 20 bills ready to find a sponsor for and drop in the collection box.

THIS POST EDITED TO HERE

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A collaborative effort, Extranos Alley is primarily concerned with providing up to date data on the relationships between privately woned firearms and crime, violence, and politics. The site is maintained by nine volunteers who have given up their identity that the work here may be considered without regard to the individual data. The contributors are a diverse group, ranging from a retired physicist to a board certified psychologist.
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