Should Mama Pack?

Someone stopped by searching for “should mama pack heat.

That reminds me of this song, popular during a part of my not always misspent youth:

Returning to the subject at hand, therere are approximately 1355 million adult women in the United States. The National Crime Victimization Survey suggest a half million of those will fall victim to some violent crime this year, and in any recent year.

Therefore, approximately one woman 530 will be criminally victimized this year. In the abstract, that is not terrible. But it is terrible to the victims.

A ten percent carry rate would cut the risk to women by almost half. A fifteen percent carry rate would cut the incidence of violent crime against women by some 50 percent, bring the risk of criminal victimization to 200,000 in 135,000,000 or 1 in 675.

Raise the carry rate to 20 percent, and and the number of crimes perpetrated against women would drop to 125,000, and the risk would fall to 1 completed crim aisnt women to 1 in a thousand.

Those numbers are experience based, not theory based. A 75% reduction in crimes againse women would save an enormous among of grief and suffering. But the risk?

The reisk is greater than negligible, smaller than substantial. While the risk varies with the type of crime, experience based data suggests less than five percent of attempted crimes succeed when the intended victim is armed. The two crimes most likely to succeed are murder and forcible sexual assault, both with success rates below five percent.

On balance, any citizen who is armed and moderately proficient iis many times safer with a gun than without one.

So buy Mama a gun, see that she is well taught in its use. Mama will be the better for it – and you will be the safer for it.


About Stranger

Extranos Alley is a Collaborate effort to provide up to information on the relationship between restrictive gun laws and violent crime; as well as other related topics. While emphasis is on United States gun laws and crime, we also provide data on crime trends world wide.
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