A chart, often called a graph, has no tongue. It must remain silent – yet to those who look, charts often speak far more loudly than a man with a public address system.
Consider the cart immediately below, a fuzzy copy of, I am told, a chart from a peer reviewed study of violence in Chicago:
Starting on the left, we can see that Chicago’s homicide rate was quite low in the 1870’s, when anyone with the price could buy and carry a gun. There was a brief spike in 1886, marking the Haymarket riots, and a long slow rise marking the mob’s increasing presence in Chicago.
The next real incident of note is the onset of WWI, marked by a sharp decrease in crime between 1816 and 1919, as the young, and most violent, demographic group vistied Europe to fight a war.
1919 marks the imposition of Prohibition, violence between Capone’s gang and other mob related bootlegging and vice groups. Murder rates actually peaked in 1929, but stayed elevated until the end of prohibition in 1933. That event resulted in lessened enforcement of Illinois gun laws, and a decline in the homicide rate.
That decline lasted, with the usually ups and downs marking year to year variations until 1949,when the advent of television, a crackdown on married welfare recipients, and the end of the “hore anyone but get the job done” ended. As you can see, the year to year variations continued but there was a slow rise in homicide rates until 1964.
The gun control drive that began the next phase of Chicago’s homicide began in December, 1964, too late to significantly influence Chicago’s murder rate for that year, but greatly influencing homicide rates through the end of 1968.
The next significant marker came in December, 1968, with the imposition of the Lyndon Johnson and a rogues gallery of Congressmen’s Gun Control Act of 1968, which sent Chicago’s homicide and violent ci rates into a near vertical climb.
The next significant marker came in 1982, when Alderman and “made man” Fred Roti used his “considerable influence” to pass a bill banning guns in Chicago.And sending the “police reported” homicide rate to record highs. Court challenges delayed enforcement of the gun ban finally had its full effect between 1986 and 1993.
A combination of a truce between some of the most violent gangs, arrests of some gang leaders, and an influx of defensive weapons put Chicago’s homicide rate into free fall until a new equilibrium between fear of getting shot and desire for easy money brought a new settling point.
Now, this same pattern of gun control followed by soaring violent crime rates is almost invariably seen when crime rates are charted. The exceptions are those laws imosed with so little warning the criminal underworld does not have time to react. Since most murders are criminal on criminal affairs, that can have a profound effect on crime charts.
Here is a chart of the United States homicide rate from 1880 to 2015, showing the effects of gun controls and gun control campaigns, starting with the labor violence triggered restrictive laws of 1905-1906:
Before 1905, virtually any American with the price could buy, possess, and carry a gun, and homicide and violent crime rates were generally around one sixth that of 2015, the last year official data is available.
You can easily see the results of the restric first restrictive gun laws in the 1905-1906 period. Less visible, but there if you look, are the 1909 decline as three State laws were relaxed, and the sharp rise with that marks the imposition of New York’s very restrictive “Sullivan law.
From there, it is easy to see the abrupt resulting from WWI,the rise in homicide as Prohibition took hold, the decline after the repeal of Prohibition, the “black market bump” during WWII, the slow decline after WWII, the sharp rise as the entertainment industry’s gun control campaign took lives, and the even steeper rise as the Gun Control Act of 1968 took hold.
And finally, in red, are the effects of the current gun control campaign, nominally funded by New York City’s former mayor, Michael Bloomberg.
And it is equally easy to see wehre, in 1993, the combination of a change in pub lic taste in firearms and spreading Concealed Carry law put American homicide and violent cirme rates in free fall. And,in 1998, the imposition of the National Instant background Check or NICS system stopped the decline in homicide and violent crime, putting those rates on “slow decline.”
Now we have another gun control campaign> Will the charts tell us what is going on Yes, but not who is responsible, or where evil is being done. Let’s look at another chart, this time from a State”
The damage gun control had already done before Bloomberg’s bunch moved in is easy to see. But look over on the right where, sure enough, the effects of Bloomberg’s gun control campaign are easy to see.
What is less easy to see is that violent crime, including homicide, in Oregon was in decline until the entertainment industry begain its campaign to “ban mail order guns” in late 1963. There can be no doubt that decline would have continued had there been no gun control campaign.
It is also difficult for some to comprehend at gut level that the height of those bars represent human lives. 55 Oregonians were murdered in 1963, before gun control, and that number had up to 64 when the Federal Gun Control Act of 1968 was sighed into law. After five years of Federal gun control, there were 110 murders, and that number climbed to 150 in 1994,just before criminals realized crime was longer a safe occupation.
So at any level, municipal, State or national, an honest chart of crime rates from pilfering to murder will tell us whether or not gun controls been imposed, when, and and how severely thos restrictive laws impact tun owners. All it takes are the numbers. But a Rene Descartes said, “If you cannot describe it in numbers it does not exist.”
Ever yman makes his mark, they say, and gun control advocates have certainly made their mark on America. 800,000 lives worth of mark.