Someone came by searching for “# crimes by those cannot buy gun.”
As a former trail driver on the Chisum and Goodnight trails put it, “Tha’t ssort of a large subject.” So large it will have to have a few “terms and conditions” added to allow an intelligible answer, one not bogged down in details.
First,Obama’s census guessed there are 422,500,000 people residing within the borders of the 50 States. Of those, approximately 16 million cannot buy a gun, 9 million of those having a felony conviction or some other disability, and almost eight million are illegal or criminal aliens.
For all intents and purposes, that makes approximately 306 million of us who can lawfully buy a gun where local law permits gun sales, and 17 million cannot legally buy a gun.
Now, for one year, just under 290,000 gun related crimes were reported to police.
Analysis of available data suggests that no more than 20,000 of those were by persons wh are not on the FBI’s forbidden to purchase list, and most of those were reports of domestic violence.
The approximately 6,000 cases of criminal violence by someone not on the FBI list are included, so we 20,000 of 290,000, or approximately 1 in 150 gun related crimes committed by someone who can legally buy a gun.
However, the number of career criminals who commit gun crimes is much smaller than most assume. It is generally assumed that a career criminal will commit a serious crime every 48 hours while they are out of jail or prison, and at 180 crimes a year it only takes 1500 hard working career criminals to make the quota of 270,000 gun related crimes.
More realistically, a career crimnal probably commits less than 25 gun related crimes a year while he is out of the corrections system, and there are probably 20,000 active career criminals who9 have chosen gun crimes on the street at any given time.
Given the limits I have just outlined, the conventional estimate of 30,000 perpetrators a year, about half of whom are usually one crime and out, and the other half are the career criminals who make a living breaking the law is reasonable. But not necessarily highly accurate.