Florida, Gun Control, Crime, and Gun Rights

Florida had gun controls, suxh as a law against owning a Winchester rife, before 1900 However, most of those laws either “selectively enforced,” usually against minorities,or not enforced at all. Unenforced laws have much the same effect as no law, while enforced laws drive v crime rates sky high.

As you would expect, Florida had a high crime rate in 1950, with that rate further elevated by the aftereffect of Castro’s coming to power in 1959,resulting in a rush of refugee.

The chart below, deirived from Florida’s Law Enforcement Agencies reports to the FBI, shows in detail how Florida criminals reacted to both gun control.

That problem was resolved as Hollywood fired up their 1963 gun ban campaign. AT that time the State’s homicide rate was just 7.1 per 100,000 population.

By 1968, the fifth year of Hollywood’s anti-gun campaign, the homicide rate was up to 10.5 per 100,000 with murders up from 420 to 731.

1`968 was also the year Lyndon Johnson sighed the “law that will end gun violence in America forever,” the federal “Gun Control Act of 1968.

1973 marked the fifth full year of federal gun controls, and the homicide rate had jumped to 15.4 per 100,000 Floridians,with 1,212 homicides. That was the peak year for homicide rates, since the number of murders grew more slowly than the population. However, the murder rate went almost that high in the early 1980’s, before Marion Hammer persuaded her fellow legislators to pass the first modern “Concealed Cary Weapons” Permit system.

The CCW system was enacted in 1987, and after a slow start, thugs who live by robbing, and often murdering, people who stopped in roadside rest areas began winding up in the morgue.

As a result, Florida’s homicide rate was in decline as “the other 49” murder and violent crime rates were driven up by Handgun Control Inc. and the Democrats Assault Weapons Ban Campaign.

As a result of Florida’s CCW system, as of 2015 Florida had a the lowest State homicide rate since the beginning of Prohibition in 1919.

That law had similar results for other violent crimes, robbery and aggravated assault. The chart below tracks the number of robberies, in b blue, and aggravated assault, in red, reported to Florida’s Law enforcement agencies each year.

As you can see, Mrs. Hammer’s Concealed Carry Weapons system has suppressed both robbery, the blue trace, and aggravated assaults, the red trace. While the number of both crimes could be sharply reduced, that would require a higher percentage of Floridians who habitually carry a defensive weapon. As you can see from the Arizona discussion, Constitutional Carry encourages citizens to carry, and sharply cuts violent crime.

Unfortunately, the gun ban organizations such as Bloomberg’s “Every toown for high violence rates” and the rebranded Handgun control, Inc, now the “Brady Campaign,” are working hard in the Sunshite State . As a result, crime rates are at the national level, but there is extreme resistance to any measure that would further decrease the incidence of criminal victimizations.

The situation would be much worse had not the Legislature preempted local gun establishing a $5,000 a day penalty for any mayor, city manager, or city councilman, county supervisor, or anyone else who attempts to either enforce preempted laws or create new laws to evade preemption.

That measure has proven to keep the “we must DOOOOOO something” crowd from passing more pro-crime llegislation, providing a painfully slow decline in overall crime rates.

While I try to avoid discussing the fourth category of violent crime, since the number of reported crimes depends on the percentage of victims who report the crime, in 1963 a small scale survey found only 1 in 25 rape victims reported the crime, and the reported “forcible sexual assault rate was 5.8 per 100,000, an indication that the true rape rate was close to 150 per 100,000 populatoin.

a 2014 survey found 1 Florida rape victim in 5 reported the crime to a law enforcement agency. That, along with the 26.8 reported rape rate indicates the incidence of forcible sexual assault is down to the same actual level it was 64 years ago.

And, after all that, it is time to discuss coincidences. As we have noted many times, it taks only 20 failures in a “pass or fail” statistical analysis to prove to scientific certainty that some action was either a success or a failure. Beyond “light switch statistics, on or off,” it can take as few as three unlikely coincidences to prove o scientific certainty that something is either a success or a failure.

There are at least 19 complex coincidences in his brief review of Florida’s gun laws and crime rates; far more than necessary to demonstrate to a scientific certainty that gun controls were an abject failure in Florida. Since human nature is apparently invariant this is a trillion to one certainty that restrictive gun laws will fail to reduce crime or make anyone safer no matter how they are designed, when they are imposed, or how strictly they are enforced.

Chief Inspector Colin Greenwood put it most succinctly when he described England’s gun controls as “A series of bloody failures.” That description applies equally well to Florida, Washington, Maine, or California.

And with that, it’s on to the next State whose gun laws we intend to examine.


About Stranger

Extranos Alley is a Collaborate effort to provide up to information on the relationship between restrictive gun laws and violent crime; as well as other related topics. While emphasis is on United States gun laws and crime, we also provide data on crime trends world wide.
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