Arizona Vs Colorado Violent Crime Rates 2015

The comparison between the relatively affluent State of Colorado and the less affluent State of Arizona is an interesting one, particularly when considered with the effect restrictive gun laws have had on the two neighboring States.

Demographically, Colorado should have a remarkably low violent crime rate, since almost 96 percent of the population consists of low crime ethnicities, and only four percent are from population groups crime victimization rates abvoe 225 per 100,000 population, and below 2.0 per 100,000 homicide rate.

Arizona’s demographics are similar, with less than six percent of the population in the highest crime rate population groups. While that difference is small it is significant, particularly when paired with the State’s economics.

Economicly, ranks fifteenth for median family income, while Number 30, Arizona, has wide areas of desperate poverty, from the Tohono-O’odham peoples on the Pueblo peoples of the area adjacent to Colorado.

To make matters worse, Arizona is a major drug and human trafficking corridor, as well as a major crossing point for illegals entering the United States.

Given that, Arizona is at a substantial disadvantage in crime rates and other things affected by those three critical factors.

Given those factor, we can expect Arizona to have somewhat higher violent crime rates than Colorado, since the major factors tilt toward higher crime rates. And, As you can see from the chart below, and confirm from thes FBI derived spreadheets, that is true. W

Colorado, the red trace on the chart below, had a violent crime rate of 137.3 in 1960, while Arizona had a violent crime rate of 207.7, essentially 50 percent higher, and almost exactly the predicted violent crime rates.

Both States violent crime rates were in decline until the gun control – if confiscating all guns and melting them down to crate a statue of JFK can be called “control”- began to drive violent crime rates up.

Lyndon Johnson’s “Gun control Act of 1968
steepened the rise

Arizona’s violent crime rate stabilized in the low 600
s in the low 500’s per 100,000 in the early 198-‘s, with the campaign to ban “assault weapons” pushing the violent crime rate up to 715 in 1993. The passage of the first “Assault Weapons Ban” changed American’s gun buying habits, turning from hunting rifles and shotguns to defensive weapons, and violent crime fell precipitously until an oversupply of illegal drugs caused a rise in the violent crime rates.

covsazchart

Turning to Colorado and the red trace, we can see much the same pattern observed in Arizona, with a long term decline in violent crime rates turning int a rise, and then a steep climb. Colorado’s violent crime rate topped out in 1993 with a peak rate of 578.8, very much in line with expectations.

As you can see from the red trace on the chart. Violent crime peaked at 578.8 in 1992, again as a result of the campaign to ban military styl4ed Sport Utility rifles, and fell sharply as Coloradans began buying defensive weapons.

That decline was cut short by varous actions in the State legislature, including running a State background check system As a result, Colorado’s violent crime rate is 22 percent hither than its demographics and economics justify.

This same pattern holds regardless of of regardless of the income levles, job availability, or the demographics of a venue. From the smallest to the largest, the more restrictive regularly enforce restrictive gun laws are, the more violent the society.

Stranger

About Stranger

A collaborative effort, Extranos Alley is primarily concerned with providing up to date data on the relationships between privately woned firearms and crime, violence, and politics. The site is maintained by nine volunteers who have given up their identity that the work here may be considered without regard to the individual data. The contributors are a diverse group, ranging from a retired physicist to a board certified psychologist.
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