My curiosity button has been pushed, so just what is the murder rate among Concealed Carry Weapon permit holders?
That will be more difficult to determine, since there is no current count of CCW permitees. If State press releases are to be credited, something over 11 million permit holders for approximately 250 million adults.
We also almost totally lack the States arrest records, or better, the conviction rates on either the general public or on CCW holders.
An exception is Texas. Given the numbers supplied by the State of Texas, it is trivial to work backwards to the number of CCW holders, and the relative percentage of crimes committed compared to the general public. Texas has the further advantage of crime incidences being closely representative of other states.
From the Texas data, more than 660,000 Texans hold CHL permits. That is almost exactly 2.25% of Texans who have a Concealed Handgun License. Reuters reports 540,000 CHL’s, or two percent of Texans hold CHL’s. To be conservative, all calculations will be done using Reuters CHL numbers – which puts the CHL population at a distinct disadvantage.
Using Texas’ official numbers for 2011, the last year available, Texas reported a total of 585 murder or manslaughter convictions.
Of 585 murder or manslaughter convictions, a total of six, or just 0.01026 percent of those convicted of murder in Texas had a CCW. In a State Reuters says has approximately 540,000 active Concealed Handgun License holders.
Leaning over backwards to put the worst possible case against CHL holders:
That would be a homicide conviction rate among Texas’ general population of 25,631,788 of 2.2589 per 100,000 population.
But that would be a homicide conviction rate among Texas’ 540,000 CHL holders of only 1.11 per 100,000.
So, stretching everything to the limit, CHL permit holders, and their kin across the United States are less than 45% as likely to be convicted of murder as the general population.
Here in the real world, Texas had 1,144 reported murders in 2011. Seven were committed by CHL holders.
The homicide rate among the general population was 4.463 per 100,000 population.
The homicide rate among CHL holders was 1.296 per 100,000 population.
Either way you go, convictions or known crimes, Concealed Weapons holders are far less likely to commit murder than the general population. OR, put the other way, the general public is almost three and a half times more likely to commit murder than Concealed Weapons Permit Holders.