New Hampshire: The Cost Of Gun Control

Our next State in this the “Cost of Gun Control” is
New Hampshire, The Granite State,” home of the sidewinder, sand flea, and gambler.

However, before we look at the results and costs of gun control, we have a few “fine print” items to take care of, starting with the source of crime or this post.

The primary source of data is the FBI’s Uniform Crime reporte, issued annually. Many police headquarters have the back issues, or at this convenient spreadsheet maintained by the Disaster Center.

New Hampshire is an Constitutional Carry State, needing no permit to open carry. Or permit to buy a gun, no need to pay a tax on a firarms purchase. I is, like its neighboring State, Vermont, the sort of place a person who wants to live wihtout being victimized by criminals a very good place to consider moving to.

New Hampshire has seen steady but moderate growth over the period considered here, from; from a population of 607,000 in 1960 to 1,328,000 population in 2015. Gien the low crime nature of the State, that growth is understandable.

New Hampshire’s economy is qqite strong, with income the seventh highest in the United States with the mean income at $71,000 a year. .

In 1960, the Granite State reported just 8 murders to the FBI,
with tree involving firearms, a 37.5 percent firearms related homicide rate. In 2015 New Hampshire LEA’s reported 14 murders to the FBI, with 8 of those being firarms related for a firearms related murder rate of 57.15%, unusually high for the Granite State, but far below that percentaage wher guns are “controlled.”

With that, it is time to look at New Hampshire’s historic crime numbers and how tho incidence of crime varied with gun control campaigns and laws.

1960 when gun control was largely unheard of, New Hampshire’s Law Enforcement Agencies reported 81 violent crimes to the FBI,

10963,the year the entertainment industry began a nationwid gun ban campaign; New Hampshire LEA’s reported 164 violent crimes to the FBI.

1964,the first full year of Hollywood’s gun ban campaign, New Hampshire’s Law Enforcement Agencies reported only 149 violent crimes to the FBI from a population of 654,000..

1968, the fifth full year of Hollywood’s gun ban campaign,p campaign, and the first two weeks of the Federal Gun Control Act of 588 New Hampshire LEA’s reported 279 violent crimes to the FBI.

1969, the first full year of Federal gun controls New Hampshire LEA’s reported 326 violent crimes to the FBI as “sports related” school fights declined among a population of 712,000.

1973, the fifth full year of Federal gun controls, which agencies reported 649 violent crimes to the FBI.

193, the year Handgun Control, Inc.’s (now DBA as “The Brady Camapgn”) Assault Weapons Ban was signed into law, Neew Hampshire’s 1,111125,000 residents reported just 1,550 violent crimes to the police. That is a rate of 137.5 per 100,000 poppulation, just 19% of the national violent cirme rate that year.

This in a State that, practically speaking, has no gun control laws.

Which brings us to the chart below, which is misleading in that it includes a massive increase in the “aggravated assault rate,” apparently pecking order fights from media reports, but in no other crime.

In 2015, the latest year data is currently available, New Hampshire LEA’s reported 3,611 violent crimes, of which 2,818 were aggravated assaults. Meaning aggravated assaults which normally constitution about half of all violent crimes, made up 74^ if New Hampshire’s 2015 violent crimes.

It is easy to see that trend, and the numbers are at the link in the first few paragraphs:

Clearly, the Granite State’s violent annual violent crime totals ahve grown with the STates population – and then a whole not more. Between 1963 and 1973, New Hampshire’s population gre by 33331%, but diring the first then years of a gun ban campaign and five years of Federal gun controls,New Hampshire’s violent crime total total went from 178 to 649, a 365% increase in violent crime.

To put it another way, in 1963 the violent crime rate was 13.3 per 100,000 population, but in 1999973 the violent crime rate was 822 per 100,000. Meaning that in 1963 a Granite State resident had one chance in 7.6– pf beomg a vocto, pf a vop;emt cro,e. but ten years of gun ban campaigning and federal gun laws later a Granite State resident had one chance in 1,275 in being violently criminally victimized.

And of course, it got worse, as the chart below clearly shows. This shows the number of violent crimes per 100,000 residents,,, and has never been more than 19 percent of the national average – thanks to very good gun laws, which suppress crime instead of trying to outlaw something already against the law: i.e. sticing a gun in someone’s rigs and demanding “your money and your life.”

The usual homicide was replaced for new Hampshire because the small number of homicides and very low homicide rte mean random statistical variation dominates the homicide chart. This graph is far easier to understand s – so that is what readers will get for the time being. When these posts go to Polite Society they will be expanded to include both the homicide rate, and in many cases, the individual robbery and aggravated assault rates. Now, returning to the subject…

At this point, the schema for this post calls for a statement of the probability that crime rates, particularly violent crime rates, would fall in lockstep with gun ban campaigns and gun control laws in more than 25 States in near perfect lockstep. But that number is so large, or the probability is so small that online calculators refuse to calculate it. For all practical purposes, that number, greater than 14*10^750, is infinite. There is no real chance the nxt gun control law will do what 57,43. gun laws have failed to do, make someone safer.

Obviously, then gun control is the primary cause of the higher crime rates observed since 196. While we cannot put a price tag on grief, suffering, loneliness, loss of companionship, the pain of being orphaned, and other intangible costs of gun control, those costs are substantial.

But gun control has exacted a terrible price from New Hampshire’s law abiding as crime rates soared, including all categories of property as well as violent crime, rising and falling in lockstep with the rest of the States in response to to gun control campaigns and gun control laws. A rise with a definite financial cost shared by every resident affected by those proposed and effectuated laws.

With that, it is time to look at the actual cost of Bew Jerseey’s gun controls to the already overburdened taxpayers.

There is no accepted price for a lifetime of grief, but at the mean $2,200,000 judgement for wrongful death for each additional homicide victim, $53,900 ,for treatment of every additional shooting victim, lost wages, lost companionship,the scars of losing a parent or other close relative, including a spouse, , disability payments, the cost of excess goods destroyed,damaged or disappeared, along with the additional costs of security, law enforcement, and prisons the total calculable cost of New Hampshire’s gun control legislation is in excess of $12,450,000,000 spread over 54 years.

Obviously, New Hampshire’s misguided package of State, plus Federal, gun laws have cost New Hampshire far more than any State should be asked to pay.

It is time for Congress to do its duty and preempt all State and local restrictions, limiting those restrictions to the imposed by current federal law, and imposing a reasonable daily penalty of at least $3100,000 a day on any individual seeking to enforce preempted legislation, or craft new laws to evade Federal limits.

To fail to do so is a form of dereliction of duty. So 40 years late in preemption is a definite case of avoiding a clear and present danger to our society.

Stranger

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Is Gabby Giffords Angling For A Nobel Peace Prize?

for Arizona Gaabrelle Giffords-Kelly seems to angling for the same Nobel prize Obama recieved in 2009 as she spreads it on thick on the “benefits” of gun control.

The One News Page report features Giffords husband claiming the U.S. has 25 times the firearms death rate of any other industrialized country.

In fact, the U.S. firearms homicide rate is just 2.35 per 100,000, comparable to a third of the 50 European countries; and if cirminal on criminal murders are eliminated, our firearms homicide rate is 0.865, one of the 20 lowest such rates on the planet.

It is not until you add suicide to criminal violence – akin to adding apples to oranges to obtain a sum – that Kelly’s proposition becomes tenable – and that by jiggering the numbers to force a result that agrees with the propaganda.

It is well past time that the media ignore the Gifofrds-Kelly propaganda machine, and help us do something that actually reduces crime and makes people safer, instead of talking about their hatred of guns and gun owners.

Stranger

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Record Drug Bust In the Rotten Apple

New York City’s WPIX reports the seizure of a record amount of fentanyl in Queens, enough of the drug to kill 32 million people.

There are certain eternal truths in business, as in life. A few weeks ago a major supplier in my industry called to see if “there is anything we can do for you.” Two years ago, before I made ther arrangements, those people would not talk to me.

so I told my son that the “big dog” in the industry is not making thier marks, so watch for a buyout. And last Friday, word of the buyout came in an e-mail.

By the same token, someone was confident enough to store enough fentanyl to kill everyone in New York State, and almost everyone in New England, in a Queens facility.

The same logic that warned me of an major changes in my industry tells me that the Rotten Apple is every bit as bad as I have thought it is.

No businessman would have stored so much of value in hostile territory, so QED new York City is friendly territory for Drug trafficking and distribution.

And that is reason enough for Gotham’s pols to be bitterly anti-gun. And from there, I will let you connect the dots.

Stranger

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19 September Hurricane Watch

UPDATE CNN says Hurricane Maria is now Category 5 storm. The National Hurricane Center says Cat 4, with maximum winds of 155, so I would go with the NWS. [end]

There are three Atlantic basin systems this morning.

Jose is well of four Atlantic coast, approximately due east of Newport News, headed northeast. Jose is expected to drop to Tropical depression level and make another loop off Maine in the next five to seven days.

Maria is a very dangerous Category 4 hurricane, headed west by north toward Puerto Rico. Maria is expected to hammer both Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic before turning north toward the open Atlantic and perhaps Bermuda. But that is the forecast so keep an eye on Maria.

Tropical Depression Lee is about halfway between the Cape Verdes and the Leewards, Movement is northwest at 9 MPH, winds are at 30, and the forecast is for dissipation sometimes soon.

On the pacific side Tropical Storm Otis is well offshore, and headed for New Zealand, while Tropical Storm Norma is far off the tip of Baja, headed generally toward Siberia.

And that seems to be the sum of it for the morning.

Stranger

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Nevada, The Cost Of Gun Control

Our next State in this the “Cost of Gun Control” is
Nevada, The silver State, home of the sidewinder, sand flea, and gambler.

However, before we look at the results and costs of gun control, we have a few “fine print” items to take care of, starting with the source of crime or this post.

The primary source of data is the FBI’s Uniform Crime reporte, issued annually. Many police headquarters have the back issues, or at this convenient spreadsheet maintained by the Disaster Center.

Nevada is a shall issue State for CCW Permits, and open carry is allowed. The silver State does require a background check for private purchases, effectively registering the gun owner, bit Nevada’s Chief Law Reinforcement Officers declared the law unenforceable, so I hear very little of it.

Nevada has seen explosive growth over the 1950 to 2015 period considered here, with 1960’s census count coming in at 285,280 and the 2015 census estimate of Nevada’s population 2,889,000.

Nevada’s economy is largely based n gambling. Few people win or even break even. Gamblers who put their last dime on a roll of the dice or a turn and then turn to crime are relativelly common, as are other forms of criminal violence, something that must be taken into account when calculating crime numbers.

In 1960, Nevada reported 26 murders to the FBI, 12 or 46.2% were firearms related. In 2015, Nevada Law Enforcement Agencies, LEA’s,” reported 177 ginucudes ti the FBI, 1113 or 63.8 percent were firearms related. The shift from knives and brass knuckles to guns was noticiable within days of the inception of the entertainment industry’s gun ban campaign, which began on December 1, 1963, being announced the day before.

More fine print, but of a different sort: The intent of this series of 51 posts is to 51 posts is to first, estimate the overall dollar cost of gun control to each of the States, and to the District of Columbia.

Working our way to the crime numbers, in 1960 Nevada Law enforcement agencies reported 189 homicides, of which 82 or 42 percent were firearms related. In 2015, Nevada Agencies reported 499 murders to the FBI, 418 or 84 percent were firearms related. The percentage of firearms related homicides began to increase in 1963, at the same time the entertainment industry’s gun ban campaign kicked off and was very close to 80 percent within 5 years.

Economically, Nevada ranks 29th among the States, for individual and family income with a mean income of $51,500.

Nevada is a tourist state with a very high non-resident “floating population,” so demographics change from day to day. Generally speaking the So;ver State see;s tp be a[[rpxo,ate;u 93 percent low crime population groups, and 7 percent high crime population groups.

With that, it is time to look at Nevada’s historic crime numbers and how tho incidence of crime varied with gun control campaigns and laws.

1960 when gun control was largely unheard of, Nevada’s Law Enforcement Agencies reported 416 violent crimes to the FBI,

10963,the year the entertainment industry began a nationwid gun ban campaign; Nevada LEA’s reported 755 violent crimes to the FBI.

1964,the first full year of Hollywood’s gun ban campaign, Nevada’s Law Enforcement Agencies reported 983 violent crimes to the FBI.

1968, the fifth full year of Hollywood’s gun ban campaign,p campaign, and the first two weeks of the Federal Gun Control Act of 588 Nevada LEA’s reported 1,261 violent crimes to the FBI.

1969, the first full year of Federal gun controls Nevada LEA’s reported 1,642 violent crimes to the FBI as “sports related” school fights declined.

1973, the fifth full year of Federal gun controls, which agencies reported 3,135 violent crimes to the FBI.

194, the first full year of Handgun Control, Inc.’s “Assault Weapons Ban” campaign ws at its most intense, Nevada’s LEA’s reported 14,597 violent crimes to the FBI; 4,548 of those aggravated assaults, and as in Montana most seem to be pecking order and “puppy love” fights.

Which brings us to the chart below, which is misleading in that it includes a massive increase in the “aggravated assault rate,” apparently pecking order fights from media reports, but in no other crime.

In 2015, the latest year data is currently available, Nevada LEA’s reported 3,611 violent crimes, of which 2,818 were aggravated assaults. Meaning aggravated assaults which normally constitution about half of all violent crimes, made up 74^ if Nevada’s 2015 violent crimes.

It is easy to see that trend, and the numbers are at the link in the first few paragraphs::

Wile Nevada’s population has grown by 993 percent since 196o, but violent crime has risen by 6,850 percent, an increase 6.5 times grater than the population increase. And Nevada has done this in lockstep with gun control campaigns and gun control laws.

Further, looking at the homicide rate, the number of homicides for very block of 100,000 Nevadans in a given year, it is obvious that the homicde rate has also varied in lockstep with gun control laws and campaigns. But in this case, economic factors also enter in, as desperate people scraape together every dime they can borrow or bet and “Go to Vegas to beat the tables.” and then they either lose a life or take a life trying to “break even>”

At this point, the schema for this post calls for a statement of the probability that crime rates, particularly violent crime rates, would fall in lockstep with gun ban campaigns and gun control laws in more than 25 States in near perfect lockstep. But that number is so large, or the probability is so small that online calculators refuse to calculate it. For all practical purposes, that number, greater than 14*10^750, is infinite. There is no real chance the nxt gun control law will do what 57,43. gun laws have failed to do, make someone safer.

Obviously, then gun control is the primary cause of the higher crime rates observed since 196. While we cannot put a price tag on grief, suffering, loneliness, loss of companionship, the pain of being orphaned, and other intangible costs of gun control, those costs are substantial.

But gun control has exacted a terrible price from Nevada’s law abiding as crime rates soared, including all categories of property as well as violent crime, rising and falling in lockstep with the rest of the States in response to to gun control campaigns and gun control laws. A rise with a definite financial cost shared by every resident affected by those proposed and effectuated laws.

With that, it is time to look at the actual cost of gun controls to Nevada and Nevadans.

There is no accepted price for a lifetime of grief, but at the mean $2,200,000 judgement for wrongful death for each additional homicide victim, $53,900 ,for treatment of every additional shooting victim, lost wages, lost companionship,the scars of losing a parent or other close relative, including a spouse, , disability payments, the cost of excess goods destroyed,damaged or disappeared, along with the additional costs of security, law enforcement, and prisons the total calculable cost of Nevada’s gun control legislation is in excess of $202,900000,000, spread over 54 years.

Obviously, Nevada’s misguided package of State, plus Federal, gun laws have cost Nevada far more than any State should be asked to pay.

It is time for Congress to do its duty and preempt all State and local restrictions, limiting those restrictions to the imposed by current federal law, and imposing a reasonable daily penalty of at least $3100,000 a day on any individual seeking to enforce preempted legislation, or craft new laws to evade Federal limits.

To fail to do so is a form of dereliction of duty. So 40 years late in preemption is a definite case of avoiding a clear and present danger to our society.

Stranger

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The Full Text Of H.R. 467, The Hearing Protection Act O f2017

Here is the full text of Rep. Jeff Duncan’s H.R. 367, th The Hearing Protection Act of 2017.

This is the bill that Bloomberg’s banners have vowed to fight to Bloomberg’s last dollar, which would remove the #200 transfer tax on firearms noise suppressors. The one it is likely your local newspaper has used the bully pulpit of the editorial pages to oppose.

Here in the real world, suppressors are a valuable health and safety accessory for firearms, and are critical for preventing hearing damage.

It is a good bill that nees our Support. Os here’s the text:

____________________________________________________________

115th CONGRESS

1st Session

H. R. 367

To provide that silencers be treated the same as long guns.
IN THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES
January 9, 2017

Mr. Duncan of South Carolina (for himself, Mr. Carter of Texas, Mr. Gene Green of Texas, Mr. Austin Scott of Georgia, Mr. Biggs, Mr. Gosar, Mr. Hudson, Mr. LaMalfa, Mr. Harris, Mr. Westerman, Mr. Olson, Mr. Chaffetz, Mr. Hensarling, Mr. Carter of Georgia, Mr. Labrador, Mr. Brooks of Alabama, Mr. Smith of Texas, Mr. Bishop of Utah, Mr. Brat, Mr. Abraham, Mr. Palmer, Mrs. Love, Mr. Bridenstine, Mr. Stewart, Mr. Marshall, Mr. Emmer, Mr. Ratcliffe, Mr. Jody B. Hice of Georgia, Mr. Buck, Mr. Weber of Texas, Mr. Messer, Mr. Mooney of West Virginia, Mr. DeSantis, Mr. Newhouse, Mr. Smith of Missouri, Mr. Graves of Georgia, Mr. Lamborn, Mr. Wenstrup, Mr. Rogers of Alabama, Mr. DesJarlais, Mr. Massie, Mr. King of Iowa, Mr. Gohmert, and Mr. Yoder) introduced the following bill; which was referred to the Committee on Ways and Means, and in addition to the Committee on the Judiciary, for a period to be subsequently determined by the Speaker, in each case for consideration of such provisions as fall within the jurisdiction of the committee concerned
A BILL

To provide that silencers be treated the same as long guns.
Be it enacted by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled,

SECTION 1. Short title.

This Act may be cited as the “Hearing Protection Act of 2017”.

SEC. 2. Equal treatment of silencers and firearms.

(a) In general.—Section 5845(a) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1986 is amended by striking “(7) any silencer” and all that follows through “; and (8)” and inserting “; and (7)”.

(b) Effective date.—

(1) IN GENERAL.—Except as otherwise provided in this subsection, the amendment made by this section shall take effect on the date of the enactment of this Act.

(2) TRANSFERS.—In the case of the tax imposed by section 5811 of such Code, the amendment made by this section shall apply with respect to transfers after October 22, 2015.

SEC. 3. Treatment of certain silencers.

Section 5841 of the Internal Revenue Code of 1986 is amended by adding at the end the following:

“(f) Firearm silencers.—A person acquiring or possessing a firearm silencer in accordance with Chapter 44 of title 18, United States Code, shall be treated as meeting any registration and licensing requirements of the National Firearms Act (as in effect on the day before the date of the enactment of this subsection) with respect to such silencer.”.

SEC. 4. Preemption of certain State laws in relation to firearm silencers.

Section 927 of title 18, United States Code, is amended by adding at the end the following: “Notwithstanding the preceding sentence, a law of a State or a political subdivision of a State that, as a condition of lawfully making, transferring, using, possessing, or transporting a firearm silencer in or affecting interstate or foreign commerce, imposes a tax on any such conduct, or a marking, recordkeeping or registration requirement with respect to the firearm silencer, shall have no force or effect.”.

____________________________________________________________

So please give your Representative a call and support Rep. Jeff Duncan’s H.R. 367. Your ears will thank you.

Stanger

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UK Old Age Pensioner 1: Burglar, a new Toe Tag

In a case that makes one wonder whether sanity has returned to England after almost a century of being absent without leave, the Telegraph reports on a case in which a 72 year old Old Age Pensioner shot dead a burglar breaking into his mobile home, his caravan.

Briefly quoting the Telegraph report linked above:

Gregory, initially arrested on suspicion of murder, was later released and told he would not be prosecuted for the death of Wayne Digby, 48, who he caught trying to remove the door from his caravan.

Very good. But England’s post-Dunblane gun ban is still in place, and England’s violent crime numbers anr rates continue to rise exponentially.

It is time to restore the Englishman’s and woman’s right to possess effective defensive weapons and start bringing those sky high crime rates down to very much less than South Africa’s.

Stranger

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President Trump ant the U.N.

President Donald J. Trump gave his his first speech before the United Nations.

Good speech. A friend of ours, U.. Ambassador Nikki Haley starts the proceedings at about the three minute point.

The speech lasts about five minutes, and points so take open i tin a new tab and listen as you work.

Stranger

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RIP, Stanislav Petrov

Russia Today Stanislave Petrov passed away as obscurely as he lived, in 2010.

Who was Stanislav Petrov? A Soviet Light Colonel.

What Stansilave Petrov do that would justify notice?

According to the RT item linked above, quite possibly stopped WWIII.

So Rest In Peace, Stanslave Petrov.

Stranger

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18 September Hurricane Watch Update

Hurricane Maria is predicted to become a Category 5 hurricane as it sweeps across Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic.

The current forecast is for a northward turn and miss the U.S. but that is a forecast. ALL interests on the U.S. eastern seaboard should keep a very close watch on Maria.

Stranger

Posted in WEATHER | Leave a comment